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According to a BR study, the winter power incentive programme may be a bust

ISLAMABAD: According to an anecdotal poll conducted by Business Recorder, a four-month incentive package on incremental electricity usage in the winter to discourage the use of gas may not achieve the intended outcome for the federal government.

During the winter season, the government is contemplating increasing excess power consumption and conserving the use of rare indigenous gas, and the Ministry of Energy is requesting clearance from the National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA). For the winter, the government has yet to publish its seasonal gas strategy.

All Pakistan Anjuman-e-Tajiran and Islamabad Traders Action Committee President Ajmal Baloch said that the government would not be able to curtail gas usage as the consumers are unlikely to procure appliances to avail the incentive on incremental use of power tariff. “Why should I purchase an electric stove worth Rs 20,000 to bring down my energy bill when the difference in the per unit use of electricity and gas would be no more than between Rs5 to 10 per unit,” he said.

A representative of Association of Builders and Developers of Pakistan (ABAD) Muhammad Habib said those who had installed gas geyser are unlikely to buy expensive electric water heaters only for the winter.

Also read: Nepra Increases The Cost Of The Rs1.65 Electricity Unit For People With More Than 300 Units

He further maintained that the price of electric heating appliances would further increase with the announcement of the power tariff incentives.

Waheed Ahmed, an electronic store owner, said gas appliances are generally much more efficient than electric appliances. Giving an example of a stove, he said, an electric range uses three-time as much energy as a natural gas burner to produce and deliver the same heat.

Winter gas shortages likely to continue for a couple of years: Maniar

A Gilani Research Foundation Survey carried out by Gallup Pakistan states that 61 percent Pakistanis do not use any heating system during winters; 20 percent use gas heaters, 10 percent electricity heaters and 6 percent kerosene oil/ wood/coal.

Package on incremental consumption for electricity consumers includes domestic, commercial and general services to encourage the maximum use of electric power for heating purposes to minimise the capacity charges payable on Independent Power Producers.

The power sector is the largest consumer of natural gas at 37 percent, followed by domestic consumers (20 percent) and industry (19 percent). Overall annual gas consumption in the country is growing at around 6 percent per annum, according to the State of the Regulated Petroleum Industry’ Report 2020.

Two gas utilities –Sui Northern Gas Pipelines Limited (SNGPL) and Sui Southern Gas Company Limited (SSGCL) find it difficult to meet gas demands of their consumers in the winter season especially in peak months starting from December to February every year. And furthermore are compelled to provide expensive imported Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) to their consumers at highly subsidised rates. Resultantly, the gas sector circular debt has been increasing rapidly because of rising LNG prices in the international market.

Sources said that SNGPL network will face around 370 million cubic feet per day (MMCFD) shortfall while the SSGCL network will face approximately 250 mmcfd shortfall during the coming winter season.

With a summary for increase in price of natural gas by up to 35 per cent, Cabinet Committee on Energy (CCoE) and federal cabinet has approved a flat tariff of Rs12.96 per unit for electricity consumers across the country on additional consumption for four winter months in an effort to promote use of electrical appliances for heating room and water. However Nepra approval is still awaited.

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